2024 Moldovan presidential election
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Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Moldova on 20 October 2024.[1][2]
In addition, a referendum on whether Moldova should join the EU is to be held on the same day as the presidential election.[3]
Electoral system
[edit]Date
[edit]On 17 April 2024, Parliament speaker Igor Grosu announced the holding of the presidential election in conjunction with the referendum on joining the European Union on 20 October.[1] The decision was approved by the Parliament of Moldova on 16 May.[4][5]
Eligibility requirements
[edit]The Constitution of Moldova (Article 78, Clause 2) defines four conditions that a presidential candidate must satisfy: Moldovan citizenship, at least 40 years of age, residence in Moldova for at least 10 years, and ability to speak the state language. Article 80 of the Constitution establishes a term limit: one individual cannot serve more than 2 terms in a row.[6]
Procedure
[edit]Candidates can be nominated by a political party, an electoral alliance, or run as independents. They have to collect at least 15,000 voter signatures in their support from at least half of Moldova's level 2 administrative territorial units with at least 600 signatures in each of them.[7] The election results can be considered valid only if the turnout is above or equal to 33%. The candidate who receives an absolute majority of the votes is elected president. If no candidate receives a majority of the votes, a second round between the top 2 candidates is held two weeks after the first round. The candidate with the largest number of votes in the second round then becomes president.[8]
Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]Name | Born | Experience | Party | Ref | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Maia Sandu |
24 May 1972 (52) Risipeni, Fălești District |
President of Moldova (2020–present) Prime Minister of Moldova (2019) Minister of Education (2012–2015) |
Independent endorsed by Party of Action and Solidarity |
[9] | |
![]() Renato Usatîi |
4 November 1978 (45) Fălești |
Mayor of Bălți (2015–2018, 2019–2021) | Our Party | [10] | |
![]() |
26 February 1972 (52) | Member of the Superior Council of Magistrates (2013–2017) | Independent | ||
![]() Tudor Ulianovschi |
25 May 1983 (41) | Minister of Foreign Affairs and European Integration (2018–2019)
Ambassador to Switzerland and Liechtenstein; Permanent Representative to the United Nations (2016–2018) |
Independent | [11] | |
![]() Andrei Năstase |
6 August 1975 (48) | Deputy Prime Minister, Minister of Internal Affairs (2019) | Independent | [12] | |
![]() Vlad Filat |
6 May 1969 (55) | Prime Minister of Moldova (2009–2013)
Minister of State (1999) |
Liberal Democratic Party | [13] | |
![]() Ion Chicu |
28 February 1972 (52) | Prime Minister of Moldova (2019–2020)
Minister of Finance (2018–2019) |
Party of Development and Consolidation of Moldova | [14] | |
![]() Alexandr Stoianoglo |
3 June 1967 (57) | Prosecutor General of Moldova (2019–2021)
Vice President of the Parliament (2009–2010) |
Independent endorsed by Party of Socialists |
||
![]() Irina Vlah |
26 February 1974 (50) | Governor of Gagauzia (2015–2023) | Independent | ||
![]() Natalia Morari |
12 January 1984 (40) | Journalist
Host of Morari.live |
Independent | ||
Alexandru Arseni | 30 August 1952 (71) | Member of the Moldovan Parliament (1990–1994) | Independent | [16]
| |
Grigore Belostecinic | 7 January 1960 (64) | Rector of the Academy of Economic Studies of Moldova (2001–2022) Member of the Moldovan Parliament (2010–2011, 2014–2015) |
European Social Democratic Party | [17] | |
![]() Vasile Tarlev |
9 October 1963 (60) | Prime Minister of Moldova (2001–2008) | Future of Moldova Party |
Potential
[edit]As of July 2024, the following people have been subjects of speculation about their potential candidacy within the previous six months:
- Serghei Mișin, former leader of the Revival Party[18]
Declined
[edit]As of July 2024, the following people have been subjects of speculation about their potential candidacy within the previous six months, but they rejected and announced they won't candidate:
- Ion Ceban, Mayor of Chișinău (2019–present)[19]
- Igor Dodon, 5th President of Moldova (2016–2020)[20]
Opinion polls
[edit]Hypothetical candidates
[edit]Fieldwork date |
Polling firm/ Commissioner |
Sample size | ![]() |
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Other | None/ Undecided/ Abstention |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maia Sandu | Igor Dodon | Ion Ceban | Ilan Shor | Vladimir Voronin | Ion Chicu | Marina Tauber | Renato Usatîi | Irina Vlah | |||||
Independent | PSRM | MAN | ȘOR | PCRM | PDCM | ȘOR | PN | Independent | |||||
23 May–13 Jun 2024 | IRI[21] | 1,225 | 34% | 18% | 4% | 4% | – | 5% | – | 5% | 4% | 3% | 24% |
22–27 May 2024 | iData[22] | 1,022 | 30.4% | 14.3% | 3.0% | – | 2.5% | 6.1% | – | 3.9% | 1.6% | 6.1% | 32.1% |
2–19 May 2024 | IMAS[23] | 1,088 | 35.2% | 16.4% | 5.9% | – | 5.3% | 5.7% | – | 4.7% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 14.9% |
6–13 Apr 2024 | CBS-AXA–WatchDog[24] | 1,008 | 35.1% | 15.8% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | – | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 18.0% |
18–24 Mar 2024 | iData[25] | 1,131 | 27.9% | 13.3% | 4.4% | – | 2.6% | 5.7% | – | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 32.3% |
27 Jan–22 Feb 2024 | IRI[26] | 1,247 | 30% | 24% | 6% | 4% | – | 5% | – | 4% | 4% | 1% | 22% |
7–12 Feb 2024 | CBS Research[27] | 1,104 | 29.8% | 14.8% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 1.6% | 5.0% | – | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 22.4% |
26–30 Jan 2024 | iData[28] | 1,011 | 24.1% | 29.7% | 46.2% | ||||||||
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023 | IMAS[29] | 954 | 30.1% | 24.0% | 8.1% | – | 2.7% | 6.1% | – | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 13.3% |
2–24 Sep 2023 | IMAS[30] | 822 | 27.8% | 16.0% | 6.0% | – | 4.3% | 5.9% | – | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 24.4% |
9–23 Aug 2023 | CBS-AXA–IPP[31] | 1,215 | 29.4% | 18.1% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 4.1% | – | 5.1% | – | 3.0% | 30.1% |
13–28 Jun 2023 | CBS-AXA–IPRE[32] | 1,120 | 32.6% | 17.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | – | 1.5% | 24.0% |
10–19 Jun 2023 | CBS-AXA–WatchDog[33] | 1,121 | 37.9% | 14.2% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | – | 3.0% | 18.3% |
2–19 May 2023 | IMAS[34] | 1,112 | 28.5% | 23.9% | 8.3% | – | 3.7% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | – | 4.1% | 18.0% |
27 Apr–8 May 2023 | iData[35] | 1,049 | 30.4% | 18.3% | 6.7% | 12.2% | – | 5.9% | – | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 17.7% |
4–13 Apr 2023 | CBS-AXA–WatchDog[36] | 1,015 | 38.3% | 18.4% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | – | 1.9% | 19.2% |
15–26 Mar 2023 | iData[37] | 1,065 | 29.4% | 17.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 0.9% | 5.4% | – | 1.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 23.9% |
24 Feb–3 Mar 2023 | CBS-AXA–WatchDog[38] | 1,000 | 31.8% | 17.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 28.8% |
6–23 Feb 2023 | IMAS[39] | 1,100 | 25.2% | 20.4% | 8.2% | – | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | – | 3.8% | 24.6% |
17–26 Jan 2023 | CBS-AXA–WatchDog[40] | 1,001 | 28.2% | 17.6% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 21.8% |
15–26 Dec 2022 | iData[41] | 1,006 | 27.2% | 24.1% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 0.6% | 5.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 3.0% | 16.0% |
10–29 Nov 2022 | IMAS[42] | 1,100 | 26.9% | 19.6% | 8.8% | – | 4.0% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | – | 7.3% | 21.3% |
29 Oct–10 Nov 2022 | CBS Research/IPP[43] | 1,134 | 27.3% | 15.4% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 4.3% | – | – | 2.9% | – | 3.5% | 30.5% |
29 Sep–11 Oct 2022 | IDIS–CBS Research–IPRI[44] | 1,066 | 34.1% | 19.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.5% | – | 3.3% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 18.1% |
6–18 Jul 2022 | IMAS[45] | 1,007 | 24.4% | 25.4% | 9.2% | – | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | – | c. 5.4% | 16.0% |
Second round
[edit]- Sandu vs. Dodon
Fieldwork date |
Polling firm/ Commissioner |
Sample size | ![]() |
![]() |
None/ Undecided/ Abstention |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maia Sandu | Igor Dodon | ||||
Independent | PSRM | ||||
2–19 May 2024 | IMAS[23] | 1,088 | 41.3% | 43.5% | 15.3% |
6–13 Apr 2024 | CBS-AXA–WatchDog | 1,008 | 42.2% | 34.9% | 22.9% |
7–12 Feb 2024 | CBS Research[27] | 1,104 | 40.2% | 39.3% | 20.4% |
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023 | IMAS[29] | 954 | 35% | 46% | 19% |
2–19 May 2023 | IMAS[46] | 1,112 | 38% | 45% | 17% |
- Sandu vs. Ceban
Fieldwork date |
Polling firm/ Commissioner |
Sample size | ![]() |
None/ Undecided/ Abstention | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maia Sandu | Ion Ceban | ||||
Independent | MAN | ||||
6–13 Apr 2024 | CBS-AXA–WatchDog | 1,008 | 40.2% | 32.3% | 27.4% |
7–12 Feb 2024 | CBS Research[27] | 1,104 | 39.5% | 35% | 25.8% |
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023 | IMAS[29] | 954 | 34% | 42% | 24% |
- Sandu vs. Usatîi
Fieldwork date |
Polling firm/ Commissioner |
Sample size | ![]() |
![]() |
None/ Undecided/ Abstention |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maia Sandu | Renato Usatîi | ||||
Independent | PN | ||||
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023 | IMAS[29] | 954 | 37% | 30% | 33% |
- Sandu vs. Vlah
Fieldwork date |
Polling firm/ Commissioner |
Sample size | ![]() |
![]() |
None/ Undecided/ Abstention |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maia Sandu | Irina Vlah | ||||
Independent | Independent | ||||
6–13 Apr 2024 | CBS-AXA–WatchDog | 1,008 | 43.2% | 28.3% | 28.5% |
7–12 Feb 2024 | CBS Research[27] | 1,104 | 42.2% | 33% | 24.7% |
29 Nov–16 Dec 2023 | IMAS[29] | 954 | 38% | 35% | 27% |
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